Premier League Weekend Match Predictions and Previews

Liverpool have are the top scorers with 11 goals followed by three London clubs of Arsenal, Chelsea and Tottenham on 10 goals. Brighton, Man United and Notts Forest have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Arsenal, Tottenham and Crystal Palace have conceded less goals per game (0.6 or under) whilst Brentford, West Ham and Wolves have a goals conceded per game of 2 or more.

The home/away form analysis metrics of the weekend fixtures

 (RAG Codes – Red – bottom third for goals scored/conceded,  Amber– middle third for goals scored/conceded, Green  – top third goals  scored/conceded)

• Brentford V Man United – Saturday lunch time kick off. Will Brian Mbeumo get a good reception on his return to the ground where he made his name? United are winless in their last 3 visits.  The Bees have managed a goal a game (6 in total) but conceded more (10 goals) averaging 2 goals per game. Key stat – United have conceded in every game and Brentford just 1 clean sheet and conceding on averaging 2 goals per game . Expecting goals.
• Chelsea V Brighton – 63% home win to Chelsea (13% away win) in the last 8 seasons and back to back recent victories. Brighton have also conceded 4 goals this season and no clean sheets. Key stat – Both teams have scored in 4 out of 5 games whilst Brighton have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Expecting goals. 
• Crystal Palace V Liverpool – Key stats – On stats alone this is a big game. The only unbeaten teams this season play each other with Liverpool top of the goal scoring table whilst Palace joint leaders of the defensive charts.
• Leeds V Bournemouth – Leeds were struggling to score until grabbing 3 last weekend against Wolves. The Cherries are tough to score against (5 goals conceded this season but 4 were in the opening game at Liverpool). Could be a low scoring game.
• Man City V Burnley – The Clarets have lost their last 7 visits to the Eithad, conceding 25 and scoring just twice. City have to be favourites.
• Notts Forest V Sunderland – Forest play back-back promoted teams having drawn away to Burnley last week. Key stats – Forest yet to keep a clean sheet this season and Sunderland are unbeaten in their last three matches. Should be a good game.
• Tottenham V Wolves – Unexpected stats – over the last seven visits to London Wolves have a 57% win rate and not lost the last two visits. Pointless Wolves face a tough away fixture against free scoring Spurs averaging 2 goals per game and only failing to find the net once this season. Home team must be favourite.
• Aston Villa V Fulham – Villa managed to find the net last week but are still winless. The last 4 visits have been home wins.
• Everton V West Ham – On historic form (last 8 games) this is an even fixture (44% home and away win rate) with the Hammers unbeaten in their last two visits. Key stats – On current form the Toffees must start favourites if only for the Hammers poor start to the season (4 defeats) and conceding 13 goals (worst in the league).

Newcastle V Arsenal – The big game on Sunday afternoon could be a battle of two mean defences.

 On historic form (last 8 games) this is an even fixture (50% home and away win rate) and no draws. The Toons hold the edge with back-to-back home wins. Key stat – on current form Arsenal have conceded 2 goals (never more than 1 a game) whilst Newcastle conceded 3 this season (all in the game against Liverpool down to ten men) and three consecutive clean sheets. Expecting a close, low scoring hard fought game.