Premier League match previews using historic and current statistical analysis

Man United and Bournemouth the only unbeaten teams in their last six games. Tottenham and Wolves have no wins over this period whilst Burnley and Brighton have just one win in this period.

The home/away form analysis metrics of the weekend fixtures

 (RAG Codes – Red – bottom third for goals scored/conceded,  Amber– middle third for goals scored/conceded, Green  – top third goals  scored/conceded)

• Wolves V Aston Villa – Friday night Midlands derby. Surprising stat – Villa have yet to win this fixture in their last 4 encounters (3 home wins, 1 draw). Recent form favours Villa as Wolves have earned just 17% from available recent points (last 7 games) whilst Villa are on 43%.
• Bournemouth V Sunderland – Saturday lunchtime kick off. Two teams in contrasting recent form. The Cherries have earned 71% from available recent games. Sunderland are on a poor run (just 29% points earned from recent games) but have virtually enough points to earn Premier League survival for next season. Have to fancy the home team.
• Burnley V Brentford – The Clarets have lost just 2 games in 7 fixtures but have drawn too many for their survival chances (4 draws, 1 win, 2 defeats).Key stats – Burnley have earned just 26% from available points at home against Brentford earned 38% of points on their travels. The Clarets have no clean sheets in their last 6 games so expecting some goals.
• Liverpool V West Ham – Eight consecutive home wins in this fixture must place Liverpool favourite to make it nine.
• Newcastle V Everton – The Toons last win in this fixture was 2022. Everton won last year 1-nil and the previous encounter was a 1-1 draw. Surprising stat – Newcastle are on a bad recent run conceding 15 goals in 6 games.  Everton are scored 7 and conceded 7 in their last 6 games. Should be an interesting game.
• Leeds V Man City – Good home form has been critical to Leeds earning 71% of all their points at Elland Road. City travel well (earning 54% of available away points). Key stats – both teams are in good recent scoring form – 11 for Leeds and 12 for City in the last 6 games. Expecting goals.
• Brighton V Notts Forest –  Key stats – the Seagulls are decent at home earning 54% from points available whilst Forest travel badly (just 36% points on their travels). Home team start favourite.
• Fulham V Tottenham – Back to back home historical wins in this fixture will give the Cottagers confidence. A big away win last week will give them even more confidence. Stunning key stat – Tottenham have earned just 10% from their available points in the last 7 games (2 draws, 5 defeats).
• Man United V Crystal Palace – Surprising stat – Palace have won in their last two visits to Old Trafford with the home team failing to score. Key stats – United have earned 81% from their possible points over the last 7 games (5 wins, 2 draws). Contrast Palace have won 38% of available points over the same period and had a big European night this week.

Arsenal V Chelsea – Yet another big London derby for Arsenal. Should be a cracker.

On historic recent form Arsenal start favourites having won the last three fixtures whilst the Blues have not scored in these games.  Key stats – on current form Arsenal are stuttering with just 3 wins in 7 games earning 54% of points available whilst Chelsea have 64% over the same period. The Gunners have excellent home form (82% earned from available home points) but Chelsea travel well (earning 56% of available away points). Expecting a cracker.