Premier League Weekend Match Predictions

Crystal Palace have the only unbeaten record and the joint best defensive record with Arsenal for goals conceded (just 3 in 6 games). Brighton, Man United, Wolves and Notts Forest have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

The home/away form analysis metrics of the weekend fixtures

 (RAG Codes – Red – bottom third for goals scored/conceded,  Amber– middle third for goals scored/conceded, Green  – top third goals  scored/conceded)

• Bournemouth V Fulham – Friday night football is back. The last three visits by Fulham ended in defeat so not a good sign for the Cottagers. Key stats – the Cherries are unbeaten in 5 with 3 clean sheets. Fulham have scored in 5 out of the 6 games. Should be a close game with the home team slight favourites based on historical form.
• Leeds V Tottenham – Saturday lunchtime kick off. Spurs have scored in 5 out of 6 games this season whilst Leeds have kept 2 clean sheets. Expecting goals.
• Arsenal V West Ham United – Historic stats are a 78% home win rate although a surprising stat is that the previous two encounters were away wins. Key stats – The Gunners recent form is strong with 4 wins and just 1 defeat scoring 12 and conceding only 3. The wild card of new Hammers coach and the local derby increase uncertainty.
• Man United V Sunderland – The visitors are unbeaten in 4 whilst United have lost 2 of their last 3 games. Key stats – Sunderland have a stronger defense than United (conceded just 4 this season to United’s 11) and the reds have yet to keep a clean sheet. Could be a tough afternoon for the home team fans.
• Aston Villa V Burnley – Sunday afternoon – In 4 meetings, 3 ended as a draw whilst the last encounter in 2023 ended in a controversial late winner for the home team. Key stats – Both teams have just 1 win this season (Villa have more draws). Villa have scored just 4 goals (3 last week) and Burnley only 6. The Clarets have yet to pick up an away point although Villa with an away European midweek fixture may feel the fatigue. Villa have scored in just two games with Burnley scoring in 4 matches. Expecting a close game.
• Everton V Crystal Palace – Historic stat favour the home team (67% win rate) but current form suggests a much closer game. Key stats – Both teams are averaging over a goal per game but Palace are conceding under a goal per game. Could be a hard fought match.
• Newcastle v Notts Forest – Previous three encounters at St. James were 2 home wins sandwiched between an away win. Key stats – these are two teams struggling to score this season – both averaging under a goal per game. Expecting a tight game.
• Wolves V Brighton – Winless Wolves face the visit of an historic bogey team where the last 4 encounters were all away wins. Key stats – These two teams have yet to keep a clean sheet this season although Brighton have  conceded 9 and Wolves 13. The Seagulls have scored in 5 out of the 6 games and you would expect them to score in this match.
• Brentford V Man City – Last time out this was a draw. The Bees have scored in every game this season whilst City have only failed to score once. Expecting goals in this match.

Chelsea V Liverpool – The big game on Saturday evening.

 On historic form (last 8 seasons) this is an pretty even fixture (22% home win and 33% away win and 44% draw). Historically the game averages over 2 goals per game too.  The Blues  hold the edge in that Liverpool have not won at Stamford Bridge since 2020. Key stats – current goalscoring form both teams is similar (11 scored for Chelsea and 12 for Liverpool) as is goals conceded ( 7 for Liverpool and 8 for Chelsea). Overall results form is better for Liverpool with 5 wins with just 2 for Chelsea who are winless in their last 3 games.  Expecting a cracker.