Premier League match previews using historic and recent form analysis

The home/away form analysis metrics of the weekend fixtures

 (RAG Codes – Red – bottom third for goals scored/conceded,  Amber– middle third for goals scored/conceded, Green  – top third goals  scored/conceded)

• Burnley V Bournemouth – Burnley have won just 24% of potential points at home and are unable to keep a clean sheet. Contrast Bournemouth who go to Turf Moor in fine form, unbeaten in their last 7 games. Expecting goals and an away win.
• Sunderland V Brighton – Both clubs have the same recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats and similar goal records – 7 and 6 respectively. Expecting a close encounter.
• Arsenal V Everton – The Gunners have a 78% historic win rate in this fixture but last season’s fixture was a no-score draw. Arsenal are super strong at home (83% from potential points) but Everton are decent away (57% from available away points). Going to be a tough game.
• Chelsea V Newcastle – The Toon army has yet to taste away victory in 8 visits to Stamford Bridge. Key stats – Chelsea are in good recent form (67% earned from points available) whilst Newcastle are not (just 29% from points available). Expecting a home win.
• West Ham V Man City – The home fans have not seen a win in this encounter in 9 fixtures. Key stats – The Hammers are in decent recent form (51% from potential points) whilst scoring  11 in 7 games (failing to score only once).  City are in super form averaged 2 goals per game in 7 games, conceding just 6 over this period.
• Crystal Palace V Leeds – Key stats – Palace have scored in their last 7 games – scoring and conceding 10 goals. Leeds have averaged a goal per game in their last 7 matches but 3 of these were blanks whilst they conceded in every game. Expecting some goals in this game.
• Man United V Aston Villa – Three consecutive home wins in this fixture. United’s unbeaten ended at Newcastle with their last 7 games scoring 13 and conceding 8. Villa have scored just 6 goals but conceded only 9. This game could be decided by the odd goal.
• Notts Forest V Fulham – Key stats – Forest are winless in 6 games earning only 37% of their potential points at home. Fulham do not do draws and have conceded in their last 7 games. Should be a goal or two in this game.
• Liverpool V Tottenham – Sunday afternoon televised game. Historically no away wins in this match which is unlikely to change this weekend with Spurs winless in seven games. Home team strong favourites.
• Brentford V Wolves – Monday night game – Last season was a cracking 8 goals thriller win the home team winning 5-3. Key stats – Brentford are strong at home (earning 60% from potential home points) whilst Wolves travel badly – just 10% from potential points earned away.