Preview this weekend’s Premier League Fixtures Using Form Guide Analytics

Man United are the only unbeaten team in their last 7 games. Burnley and Crystal Palace have no wins over this period whilst Brighton, Leeds, Tottenham and Wolves have just one win in seven games.

The home/away form analysis metrics of the weekend fixtures

 (RAG Codes – Red – bottom third for goals scored/conceded,  Amber– middle third for goals scored/conceded, Green  – top third goals  scored/conceded)

• Leeds V Notts Forest – Friday night fixture. Leeds home form is crucial to avoiding relegation – earning 73% of all their points at home. Forest have a reasonable away record – earning 39% of their points on their travels. Key stats – both teams have similar goal scoring records on recent form – 7 scored, failing to score in 2 games and 2 clean sheets. Should be a close game.
• Man United V Tottenham – Saturday lunch time match – Last season this was an impressive away win for Spurs (3-0) and the year before a draw. Key stats – United are in good recent form (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats) but Spurs travel well (65% of all points are from away games). Could be a cracking game.
• Bournemouth V Aston Villa – No wins in last 2 visits by Aston Villa. Key stats – Bournemouth are strong at home (61% earned from all points available) and prolific scorers on recent form – 14 in 7 games. Villa are decent away (58% points earned from those available) but up and down for goals scored failing to score in 3 of their last 7 games.
• Arsenal V Sunderland – The Gunners are super strong at home (earning an impressive 81% from available points) whilst Sunderland are weak away (earning just 28% of points on their travels).  Home team start favourites.
• Burnley V West Ham – Burnley are winless in their last 15 games picking up only 28% of points available at home. The Hammers are weak away (earning just 28% of points on their travels). Key stats – on recent form Burnley have scored just 6 goals, the Hammers 10 with both teams conceding 13 goals.
• Fulham V Everton – Surprising stat is four away wins in their last 4 visits by The Toffees. Key stats – Everton have a mean defense conceding just 7 goals in 7 games compared to Fulham’s 9 (although 3 of these were last week against Man United). Could be a close encounter.
• Wolves V Chelsea – Historically there is a 57% home win statistic from previous fixtures. With Wolves in such poor form (earning only 14% from available points) and Chelsea travelling well (53% earned from points available) and have scored in their last 7 games. Have to fancy an away win.
• Newcastle V Brentford -Saturday evening match. Historic form favours the home team with no away wins in 4 visits. Key stats – Newcastle are strong at home (earning 64% from points available at home) whilst Brentford are not great away (earning 33% from points available).
• Brighton V Crystal Palace – Historically this “local” grudge match is evenly matched with a 38% win rate for both teams. Both teams are in poor form with Brighton 1 win in 7 and Palace winless over the same period. Key stats – The Seagulls have managed to score in all their last 7 games whilst Palace have scored just 4 in 7 games and no more than 1 per game.

Liverpool V Man City –  Could be a close encounter of the Premier League kind with both teams in similar recent form

On historic form (last 9 seasons) Liverpool start favourites – 56% home win, 33% draw and just one away win 5 years ago. Just 3 clean sheets in those encounters suggesting both teams tend to score.  Key stats – on current form both have the same figures (2 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeats) scored in 5 games and failing to score twice. Over this period Liverpool have scored 11 and City 8 whilst the Reds have conceded 8 to the Blue 7 goals.