Premier League Match Analysis – Expecting goals this weekend.

Liverpool have the best form with 4 wins (1 defeat) whilst Crystal Palace and Arsenal are the only unbeaten teams. At the bottom Leicester have the horrible record of  consecutive defeats (8 and counting).

Introducing the home/away form analysis metrics of the weekend fixtures

 (RAG Codes – Red – bottom third for goals scored/conceded,  Amber– middle third for goals scored/conceded, Green  – top third goals  scored/conceded)

• Man City V Crystal Palace – This Saturday lunchtime kick off could be entertaining stuff as Palace are in better recent form than City with 3 wins with 8 goals scored in 4 games and 3 conceded) to the home team’s 2 wins with 5 scored and 3 conceded. Key stat – Palace have scored in all their last ten games so could be an exciting game.
• Brighton V Leicester City – Brighton are in decent home form (53% from available points) and having scored 7 times in 10 games. Key stat – Contrast Leicester’s terrible form of 8 consecutive defeats and no goals scored proving they cannot keep a clean sheet. Home team must be favourites.
• Notts Forest V Everton –  The model shows Forest are amber for goals conceded at home (tough to score against) and Everton are amber for goals scored away (do not score many). Key stats – Forest have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeat in their last 5 games whilst Everton have no recent wins (4 draws) and conceding  in every game. Expecting some goals in this game.
• Southampton V Aston Villa – Newly relegated and managerless Saints are shocking at home (earning 11% of available points). Key stats – Villa have scored in all five games and Soton have conceded in their last games so would expect some goals.
• Arsenal V Brentford – Yet another London derby. The Gunners have an excellent at home (76% from available points at home) and 5 unbeaten. Key stats – Arsenal have conceded just 7 goals and Brentford 10 goals in their last 10 games so could be a low scoring game.
• Chelsea V Ipswich –Key stats – Chelsea are good at home (earning 69% of available points) whilst Ipswich are poor away (earning 29% of available away points). Chelsea 4 cleans sheets in 5 games against Ipswich no cleans sheets in their last 5 games .Have to fancy the home team
• Liverpool V West Ham – The Reds have a earned a super 84% from available points at home. Contrast the Hammers have earned 38% of available points on their travels. Key stat – Liverpool have scored in all their last 10 games so must be favourites.
• Wolves V Tottenham – Could be an interesting game as Wolves in decent recent form with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat and scoring in all five games.  Key stat – Contrast Spurs with just 1 win, 1, draw and 3 defeats and scoring just 2 of those matches but conceding in all 5 games.
• Bournemouth V Fulham – Key stat – The Cherries are out of form with non wins and no clean sheets in their last eight games but they have scored in their last 6 games. Fulham have scored in all their last 5 games so expecting goals in this game.

Newcastle United V Man United – Battle of the United’s but who will win?

Historic form has Newcastle as favourites with a 57% win rate and current form supports that as the Toons are 3 matches unbeaten in their last 3 games whilst United have 1 of each (a win, draw and 1 defeat). Both teams have improved defensively recently so goals could be limited.  Wild card – For Man United this game is sandwiched between two European games that could save their season so may have other priorities in than this match.